HomeMacro-Economic InvestingValue InvestingCommodity InvestingSmall-Cap InvestingOffshore InvestingOptions InvestingAgora Financial's Executive Series

Current Subscriber to an Agora Financial Product?
Member of The Agora Financial Reserve?
Customer Service Question? Click Here


May 30, 2007 by Addison Wiggin & Ian Mathias

  • Shanghai index drops 6.4%… What the Chinese are doing to prick the bubble
  • Federal debt higher than previously reported: New figures reveal how much you owe
  • Consumers kicked in the teeth, say they like it
  • South African gold production slowing…
  • Small soda “buyout bait”: 2 companies in prime spot for takeover
  • Chinese food scare: Why “organic” is not the answer

Chinese officials announced yesterday they will be tripling taxes on stock profits. The Shanghai index proceeded to drop 6.4%, as speculators took to the exits.

The Shanghai index has been looking ripe for a fall for some time. Even the myopic Greenspan made waves when he noticed this publicly last week.

“The Chinese are trying to find some way of tempering this market exuberance without blowing up the bubble altogether,” commented our international investing guru Christopher Hancock. “Like everything they do, they like it done in a gradual manner.”

21On Feb. 26 of this year, Chinese stocks lost 9% the day after a record high close. The Dow lost 416 points in the next 24 hours, wiping out a total of $632 billion in U.S. investments.

“It’s not clear how an overinflated Chinese widget company trading in Shanghai affects the earnings of GE all that much,” Hancock continued. “It's not like the Chinese lost any fundamental spending power overnight. They still have just as much cash hoarded under the house. All that happened was the government implemented a reform that discouraged investors from massive, racetrack-like speculations.”

But such is the state of the global markets these days. Today, the Dow opened slightly lower.

52 The dollar and U.S. Treasuries ticked up on the news from China. Many investors still see U.S. debt as a safe haven when the sky is falling.

101 In fact, today, 80% of Treasuries due in 3 to 10 years are owned by foreigners -- a record high. “The media do a fine job letting us know what kind of dependence we have on foreign oil,” writes EverBank’s Chuck Butler “But they fail miserably at letting us know what kind of dependence we have on foreign financing.”

119What a load of financing that is, too. “Taxpayers are now on the hook for a record $59.1 trillion in liabilities,” reported USA Today yesterday.

That’s about $516,000 for every U.S. household. After doing the books the way all corporations are required to by law, USA Today found that the federal government lost $1.3 trillion last year -- far more than the “official” $248 billion deficit.

130 The other instrument of American financing, the housing market, saw its first quarterly drop in prices since 1991, S&P said in a press release yesterday. Home prices fell 1.4% in the first quarter. "We still don't see anything that looks like a clear bottom," commented S&P chairman David Blitzer. "We're still headed down."

146 Yet consumers remain unmoved. The Conference Board’s consumer index rose from 106 to 108 in May, despite analysts’ projections of a slight decline. This is the first month since November ’06 that the index has ticked up.

But why worry? We’re enjoying the steady erosion of the nation’s currency. We like paying more of our dollars for milk, beef, chicken and gasoline. We love our health care premiums and our home insurance bill. We get a kick out of the fact that property taxes are going through the roof, just at the moment our homes have begun to decline in “value.”

We especially appreciate the fact that the baby boomers are about to retire… with no savings… and that the approaching “demographic tsunami” could, as U.S. Comptroller General David Walker points out, “swamp the ship of state.”

Yay! Why don’t we all join hands, as former Dallas Fed governor Robert McTeer suggested, and buy an SUV?

Preferably a Navigator.

238 South Africa's Chamber of Mines announced that the nation's gold production was down 7.6% in the first quarter. Gold dropped four bucks in trading yesterday.

246 “Small soda looks like buyout bait,” says Greg "Gunner" Guenthner, with his eye on the bulletin boards and penny stocks.

Last week, Coca-Cola plunked down $4.2 billion for Glaceau, maker of Vitamin Water. “Even Coke executives are acknowledging a changing tide in the soft drink business,” says Gunner. “The company has admitted enhanced water and energy drinks will probably make up a large portion of the beverage industry’s growth in North America over the next several years.”

If you had invested in Hansen Natural (HANS: Nasdaq), for example, when it was a penny stock in January 2005, it would have shown you almost eight times your initial investment. Jones Soda Co. (JSDA: Nasdaq) has shot up more than 125% in the last six months.

“Keep an eye on many of these small beverage companies over the next several months,” advised Gunner. “Many could prove to be excellent buyout candidates for some of the larger soda companies out there looking to enhance their product portfolios.”

For help doing so, click here.

310“I would like to know just what the antagonism toward Chavez is,” wrote a reader. “Is he wrong to recapture the American domination of Venezuela's resources, such as oil and electricity, for which they were being raped?

“You claim he is a nut job. I don't believe it. America places false flags in countries that don't bow to its whims and desires. The deal is that America's leaders portray to Americans that America is the world's savior and that these leaders are bad people doing bad things and we must protect them. I don't buy that line.”

We don’t buy it, either.

But nationalizing all of Venezuela’s industries, taking over the media and hard-balling the legislature into going along with his charade isn’t going to help the Venezuelan people any more than the imperialist Norte Americanos have.

345 “Unless somebody zaps dictator Chavez fairly soon, we are going to have a much larger problem than Cuba on our southern shores,” suggests another reader. “He's emulating his hero Castro, and unless he is soon deposed, he'll form a Marxist alliance with Bolivia... stirring up the radical left throughout South America.”

404“I am a crop consultant in Southern California,” wrote a reader in response to our exposé of contaminated food coming from China. “Having worked in Mexico and Japan, and having seen fact-finding presentations on Chinese berry growers, I have had concerns for years about eating food from the Third World.

“It is important, as you say, to stress the importance of buying FRESH American foods… as opposed to organic. While I do work with organic growers as well, I do not see organic as the most important requirement. Mainly, because of low yields, and the fact that we spray organic fields about twice as many times with pesticides as we spray conventional fields.

“The modern pesticides we are now using are derived from the same process that we use for discovering new medicines. They are not poisons in the way that the old nerve poisons were. They are hormones, bacterial extracts and other complex tools, which are selected for their low toxicology and ability to break down rapidly. We now apply ounces per acre, instead of quarts per acre, because these tools are so precise in what pest they control. If these new pesticides can be extracted from a bacteria or fungi and processed without any synthetic chemicals (usually thinners or stabilizers), they are allowed to be registered as organic pesticides.

“That being said, I told my wife after the recent Chinese food scare that we should try to buy organic PROCESSED foods, since they are less likely to have ingredients from the Third World. What will not help is every Che groupie tripping over their soapbox in their Birkenstocks hurrying to proclaim that organic is the only solution.”

457 And in a truly ironic act, China seized 118 tons of Evian bottled water today. Chinese officials claimed the posh water had unacceptable amounts of bacteria and sent it all back to France.

Cheers,
Addison Wiggin


Agora Financial News

A Flood in the World Markets by Dr. Hans Sennholz| The Daily Reckoning 
Some people never learn from the past. Our Federal Reserve exemplifies this, as they continue to direct the credit expansion, which has given rise to a voluminous foreign trade imbalance. Dr. Hans Sennholz explains…

A Robot in Every Home by 2010 by Jonathan Kolber| The Penny Sleuth
...Even more remarkable, it has assisted poor families in acquiring computers, offered widespread subsidize training, and became the first country on Earth to offer broadband access to every primary, junior and high school..."

Who’s “The Decider” Now? by David Gonigam | Whiskey & Gunpowder
Greg Grillot's Note: I’ve got a new Whiskey shooter for you today. His name’s Dave Gonigam and he’s got 20 years experience in TV news. He’s worked with such big networks as ABC, CBS, NBC and Fox. He reports on the recent developments on the Iran situation and a potential intrigue within the White House.

 
Agora Financial News Blogs

The Daily Reckoning’s Desidooru Saloon
The Desidooru Saloon is a blog from us editors over at The Daily Reckoning. Not being technically savvy, it has taken us a while to get into this crazy blogosphere. But we figure this is a good way to have a more open and organic dialogue that readers can be a part of. As for the name, it has a lot of meaning behind it. We know it's not the easiest name, but we think you'll appreciate the name after reading the history behind it… Also, if you're so inclined…sign up for the “always FREE” Daily Reckoning newsletter.


The 8th Annual AGORA Financial Investment Symposium
July 24-27th: The One Event You Can't Afford to Miss!

Rim Of Fire: AF Investment SymposiumOnce again, Agora Financial is proud to host what will surely be one of the most heavily anticipated financial conferences of the year. The Agora Financial Wealth Symposium will grace beautiful Vancouver, British Columbia for the fourth year in a row. This year's theme, Rim of Fire: Crisis and Opportunity in the New Asian Era, will explore the incredible profit prospects of the booming Asian continent. Learn More >>

100% Accuracy… With Average Gains of 100%!
Your Chance to turn $5,000 Into $1 Million With the Hot Streak of the Decade

100% AccuracyIf you were one of this hotshot analyist’s loyal readers in 2005, you would have had a chance to make money on every single one of his recommendations. And not just small gains, either — the average return was 100%. Catch this streak while it’s still hot — and learn how quickly you could turn $5,000 into $1 million.

Click Here for More Information >>

How You Could Turn $200 Into $1.2 Million…Or More!
The CXS Money-Multiplier System finds the stocks that Wall Street ignores.

CXS Money MultiplierThose stocks -- handpicked and meticulously researched -- are then passed straight on to you. The profit potential is that simple. You’ll be kicking yourself if you miss this. It’s all upside -- and you must see it to believe it.

CXS Money-Multiplier System >>



Free Resources
Thursday May 31, 2007
The Tech World’s Achilles Heel — Power
Wednesday May 30, 2007
India's Stock Market Reaches Milestone
Small Soda Looks Like Buyout Bait
A Flood in the World Markets
A Robot in Every Home by 2010
Who’s “The Decider” Now?
Tuesday May 29, 2007
Better Than A prescription Sleep Aid
China Goes Nuclear
The End of Free Speech in Venezuela
Fighting Off Cynics With Golden Gloves
Appetite for Destruction
Health Care Costs Soar: What Are We Getting for It?

Agora Financial's 5 Min. Forecast — part of a premium e-mail bundle called Agora Financial's Executive Series. Along with the Rude Awakening, the 5 Minute Forecast is sent FREE to all Agora Financial subscribers. Read Today's Issue Free >


Media & Editors

Kevin Kerr, Maniac TraderREVEALED AT LAST:
The Inside Secrets of One of the World's Most Exclusive Moneymaking Clubs
 
For decades, a small group of men and women have been making millions of dollars playing everything from politics to the weather. And until recently, the only way to join the fun was to know someone already inside...

Now, Kevin Kerr has dared to break the ranks — and he wants to share the inner workings of this elite group with you. With his help, you have a chance to turn everyday events into cold, hard cash... just like the pros do! Find Out More >>

……………………………………………………………
Chris Mayer on CNBCWhile working with Citigroup in Hong Kong, Christopher Hancock spent the last two years researching emerging markets in China. Now as the editor of Freemarket Investor, he helps investors uncover opportunities from around the globe! Find Out More >>

Research Center
Enter Symbol: 
  
Research Tools

Investing In Water Report:
A Special Situations Report on Our Most Precious Resource Investing In Water

Water might be the precious commodity that determines the wealth of investment portfolios. That's why we conducted an intensive, months-long research effort to find the very best ways to invest in water. Our just-released water report highlights five stocks that we believe will reward investors over the years ahead. Investing In Water Report >>

Housing Bubble Report:
What the Numbers Tell UsHousing Bubble

Recent existing home sales data confirm the fact that the housing boom-boom is going bust-bust. Sales of existing homes fell 11.2% from a year earlier, while the absolute number of homes for sale jumped to a new record. Housing Bubble Report >>


Editor Spotlight
Bill Bonner
Addison Wiggin
Eric Fry
Dan Amoss
Kevin Kerr
Craig Walters
Greg Guenthner
Chuck Butler
Kate Incontrera
Chris Mayer
Steve Sarnoff

Mogambo Guru
Peronet Despeigne
Christopher Hancock
Dr. Richebächer
Jonathan Kolber
Byron King
Jim Amrhein
Mike Shedlock
Greg Grillot
Ian Mathias

Doug Casey
View All >>


CustomerService
Phone / Email:
1-800-326-1433
customerservice@agorafinancial.com
CustomerService

AFR
Options

Resource Trader Alert

Options Hotline

SpecialtyServices

Seeds of Wealth

The Secret Order of Jurojin

Agora Financial Books

Empire of Debt 

The Demise of the Dollar 

Financial Reckoning Day

Agora Book Publishing

Agora Financial Resources

Welcome to Squanderville

The Essentialist Glossary 

Essentialist Humor Files 

A DR Desiderata 

An Open Letter to Congress

The Revolution Of 1913

Econ&Politics

Strategic Investment

The Survival Report

The Richebacher Letter

Value&Income

Capital & Crisis

Mayer’s Special Situations

Gold Oil & Energy

Outstanding Investments

Resource Trader Alert

Growth, Tech & Med

Small-Cap Strategy Report

Small-Cap Insider

Penny Stock Fortunes

The Emerging Capital Report

Offshore & Intl

NEW: Global Real Estate Investor

Free Market Investor

Home  |  About Us  |  Whitelist Us  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy  |  Search | Customer Service

Copyright © 2007-2008 Agora Financial LLC. All Rights Reserved. The content of this site may not be redistributed
without the express written consent of Agora, Inc.